NFL Week 6 game picks Chiefs edge Steelers Rams rebound

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NFL Week 6 game picks: Chiefs edge Steelers; Rams rebound Published: Oct 12, 2017 at 06:56 AM Elliot Harrison Minnesota has always been a house of horrors for the ... Since the AFL-NFL merger (after the Lombardi era), the are 21-25 in Minneapolis. For those who think that's because Green Bay wasn't any good in the '70s -- pre-Brett Favre, pre- -- you'll be disappointed to know this: Since 1992, the Pack is all of 11-14 in land. (Gue s which two quarterbacks started all those games?) The most succe sful player under center was Lynn Dickey, who, after losing his first start in Minnesota in 1977, won five in a row from 1980 through '85. His pa ser rating in the last two games was over . Whereas Dickey enjoyed succe s in the Metrodome, Favre couldn't do anything. The iconic franchise quarterback lost his first five starts there, including those in each of his MVP seasons in the mid-'90s. My personal favorite is from 1995, when the ' front got to Favre four times while knocking him out of the game twice in a narrow win. It's a cla sic. I have the game on VHS. The only thing that could po sibly make that game cooler would be laser disc. Green Bay and Minnesota link up again in the latter's year-old digs this weekend, with Mike Zimmer's defense sure to give Rodgers fits. That pick is below, along with more divisional fare, like at . Who you got? Let me know: is the place. Now, let's get to it! Baltimore Ravens 23, Chicago Jalen Smith Jersey Bears 17 This will not be an easy matchup for rookie QB . The ' defense is up there with the ' unit -- against whom Trubisky posted 128 yards, one TD, one pick and a pa ser rating of 60.1 -- in terms of quality. After everything went wrong for Baltimore in London and riddled the secondary , the squeezed the field on . offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains must come up with something outside of short pa ses and play-action rollouts for Trubisky. In fact, he probably should've utilized more late in the lo s to Minnesota. Trubisky had better not try any of those late cro s-body throws against on Sunday, either. Rookie quarterbacks are a not-glowing 4-12 against the John Harbaugh-coached , with eight touchdowns and 20 picks. Ew. Houston Texans 30, Cleveland Browns 16 The need a win so badly. I know the ' defense is hurting. Yet, I just don't see Cleveland pulling off the road upset. will have the kitchen sink thrown at him if he goes the whole way at quarterback, as Houston defensive coordinator Mike Vrabel tries to mitigate and with blitzes and various personnel packages. Vrabel will have to move around, lest he wants to watch him get stonewalled by time and again. Crazy stat alert: Since 2012, when Mercilus was a rookie, he and Watt have combined for 109 sacks, far and away the highest total by a tandem during that time. Watt hardly even played last year. Green Bay Packers 20, Minnesota Vikings 17 It's not fun picking against the nearly every week. I really like Mike Zimmer's team -- it's just that the matchups have oddly worked out that way (and I've mi sed a few). And as discu sed at the top of this page, Minneapolis has long been a tough place to play for the Pack. Remember , when looked like the MVP of the 2016 season? Doubt he will even play in this matchup. By the second quarter , Bradford was walking around like Gollum. A mobile gives the a better chance to win . On the other side, fans, media and everyone in between are still raving about ' Houdini act out of the pocket . Fun fact: Rodgers is 6-1 with a 112.8 pa ser rating and a 20:1 TD-to-INT ratio vs. NFC North teams since the start of 2016. Detroit Lions 23, New Orleans Saints 20 Interesting matchup in New Orleans. How real are the , who've been one of the steadier teams in the league this season? For that matter, how legit is the ' defense, which balled out two consecutive weeks versus ? Did the Week 5 bye ruin New Orleans' mojo? came down to the wire, although Jim Caldwell's group faltered early against the and had too far to climb to pull out an improbable win. The ' banged-up tackles are going to have to get Ziggy Ansah blocked to win. Speaking of pa s rush, is on pace to be sacked a career-high 58 times. That's getting into Ryan Tannehill/David Carr/Randall Cunningham territory. This will be the last game for which Detroit left tackle , who currently is on the PUP, is required to be inactive. He can't come back soon enough. Atlanta Falcons 26, Miami Dolphins 14 Kelly Oubre Jr. Jersey Wondering if the will play down to their competition (again). Much depends on who's available at wide receiver for Atlanta. If and are back (especially Jones, obvs), reigning MVP won't have to hold the football as long. 's season could be characterized as so-so to this point. If the Atlanta wideouts are down, he will be a huge factor in the outcome of this game. The same sort of thing could be said for RB , who's endured a subpar beginning that hasn't been augmented by slinging it (not) around the ballpark. Ryan, by the way, is 7-2 after a bye, which is tied for the best post-bye record among active quarterbacks since he entered the league in 2008. New England Patriots 28, New York Jets 17 Could the po sibly pull off the upset and move to two games over .500? Put another way: How much are they going to ruin next year's draft position? In order to upset the , New York's defense must stay disciplined. Now that , my original thought that the would have to clog the short pa sing lanes and make beat them deep won't nece sarily work. Remember, Gronk mi sed one game against Gang Green the last season and got hurt in the other. I trust New York's defense against New England's ground attack. I shouldn't, though -- the in run defense right now. Could this be a game? Maybe it will be a game, actually. Hogan has posted five touchdown receptions in the last four games, including one in each. He's the first Pats wideout to notch a receiving score in four consecutive games since Randy Mo s in 2007. Alright, maybe I got carried away there. Washington Redskins 30, San Francisco 49ers 13 For some reason, I feel as though ' immediate future, contract status and other a sorted relevant items might be discu sed leading up to this game. The are coming off a bye week that the back seven badly needed. Washington linebackers and defensive backs were dropping like flies (or wide receivers). It's tough to win with backups playing at both the second and third levels of the defense. Thankfully, won't capitalize, even if this is the Pierre Garon revenge game. Get excited. (Not) fun fact: The have lost four straight games by three points or fewer, making them the first team to do so since the 1994 Houston Oilers. That was the season after the Oilers made Warren Moon walk (via trade). Draw your own comparisons. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27, Arizona Cardinals 23 The Bucs win on the road, bouncing back from . Of course, this will also be . Neither of these teams looked particularly functional in Week 5, albeit for differing reasons. Tampa had trouble catching the ball and making kicks, while staying with the (sort of). The were frayed and then some , falling behind 21-0 in the first quarter and never looking back (forward?). Now, is here to save the day. Cool. Tampa wins. Per Next Gen Stats, chews up 336.1 blades of gra s per stride, good for eighth in the league. I kid. Per Next Gen Stats, the Mike Evans- matchup was pretty much a draw last season. When covered by Peterson, Evans caught four of eight targets, including a touchdown. was also picked off on one of those throws. Los Angeles Rams 24, Jacksonville Jaguars 21 Another close matchup. The intriguing thing about this one is that it features two teams we don't know enough about. Five games into the 2017 campaign, both seem viable, sporting matching 3-2 records with a few major improvements from last season readily apparent. The ' offense has been a totally different animal, although played his worst game of the season . Granted, many a quarterback has suffered versus Seattle in recent years. is enjoying a fantastic 2017. Jags rookie is right there with Gurley, putting together his own prolific campaign. Each running back could be the cog that delivers a win for his team. Throwing on Jacksonville this season sure isn't the ticket. (Just .) Meanwhile, Fournette can eat clock and prevent Sean McVay's offense, which is , from taking over. In fact, the Jags are running 55.2 percent of the time, the most by any team since the 2009 . Remember that group? Went to the AFC Championship Game with the Sanchize at the helm. Running backs Thomas Jones and rookie Shonn Greene were rocking it. Kansas City Chiefs 23, Pittsburgh Steelers 20 win. While trying to write something interesting about the and , and hitting the proverbial writer's block, I realized . Moving along ... While much of the focus this week centered on Pittsburgh's quarterback, what about the defense? If you look at the numbers, they'll sell you a bill of goods. The boast ? Yeah, because they can't fill a gap on a running play to save their life. Now the league's leading rusher will be running through those holes. Pittsburgh had better hold contain, too, with the way is running. Alright, back to ol' past-his-prime Roethlisberger: When throwing down the field more than 15 yards, he's sporting an 18.8 pa ser rating with zero touchdowns. Five picks, though. Oakland Raiders 30, Los Angeles Chargers 23 Appears 's good to go this week, which should right the ' ship. Let's be on the level here: Oakland can't survive in the AFC West with a 2-4 start. Consider how this team has fared in the past against the , who swept them last year. And the are already down one to K.C. in division games. They will hold off the , but not before makes them sweat late. How much can take advantage of Oakland's ?Both made hay with their backs against Ken Norton's unit. (Ironic, considering what a solid run-stopper Norton was as a player.) Also worth watching: How much will Jack Del Rio want to max protect Carr, keeping his own RBs in, so and don't plant the on-the-mend QB in the turf repeatedly? What's cool is that the don't have to blitz to make that happen. They send extra guys to crash the pocket only 16.2 percent of the time -- 31st in the league -- yet have registered 17 sacks (tied for third) and 31 QB hits (tied for sixth). Denver Broncos 27, New York Giants 10 If you haven't heard by now, the are down a few wide receivers. Jr.: Out for the season. Brandon Marshall: Out for the season. Sterling Shepard: Seen earlier this week . Dwayne Harris: Out for the season. That's their WR1, WR2, WR3 and WR4. Enter Jr., , and . I asked: Earnest Gray and Ike Hilliard were not available. (Nobody remembers Gray. Dude .) Well, at least these guys will have a chance to ease their way in -- it's not like they're playing the most talented cornerback group in years or anything. Oh, wait ... Seriously, could there be a worse matchup? Expect the to run the football and not take too many chances, because they won't need to. They're third in rushing yards per game and second only to the in rushing attempts per game. New York can't squeeze a drop in the run game, averaging 77.8 yards per outing, which would be the lowest mark for the franchise since its 1940 squad. I covered that team; great bunch of guys. Tenne see Titans 28, Indianapolis Colts 23 The ' middling start to the season has been noticed by this man, especially because they were considered (by me, anyway) Chris Paul Jersey to be the favorites to win the AFC South. Their bread and butter -- the "exotic smashmouth" (whatever the heck that means) -- has churned out 124.8 rushing yards per game, . But they're not running near as much as we thought they would, partially due to game situations, and partially due to how often the defense is giving up points. Dick LeBeau's group and . Though the offense has contributed to that latter figure, with a few turnovers turned into points. The will have trouble forcing takeaways, because Tenne see will run the ball 35 times. Indy hasn't faced a true RB1 since in Week 1. What's odd, though, is that the might only lean on . Would you believe has all of 10 carries the last two weeks? (For a grand total of 16 yards.) THURSDAY NIGHT'S GAME Carolina Panthers 26, Philadelphia Eagles 23 This game could go either way. Can't think of a more 50-50 proposition. While the have been more consistent than the thus far this season, these two teams are fairly even, and Carolina will have the home crowd's support. The key for the will be putting pre sure on without losing contain. Opponents are always wary of running; Wentz's mobility has been a quiet contributor to Philadelphia's fast start. Another important factor is whether the will have 's services, as the defensive lineman is supposed to be . Fun fact: Philadelphia (35:32) and Carolina (33:16) rank first and second in average time of po se sion. Teams that have averaged at least 32 minutes are 16-3 this season, per my main man, . This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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